Dear Inspired Hustler,
Grab a cup of tea and settle in, as we explore the dynamics of bull markets with insightful data and analysis.
Understanding Bull Markets
Carson Investment Research has mapped the duration of bull markets in the S&P 500 since 1949, revealing remarkable longevity—comparable to a marathon rather than a sprint.
Source: @RyanDetrick
On average, a bull market spans 61 months (over 5 years) of rising stock prices. To visualize:
- Time enough to earn a bachelor’s degree.
- Or binge-watch your favorite series twice.
Key Definitions
- Bull Market: A 20%+ rise in stock prices (S&P 500). Think of it as the market on an upward adrenaline rush.
- Bear Market: A 20%+ decline—like a hibernating bear: sluggish and gloomy.
Historical Benchmarks
- Longest Bull Run: March 2009–October 2020 (131 months, ~11 years).
- Shortest Bull Run: March 2020–December 2021 (21 months).
- Current Bull Market: 21 months and counting.
Crypto and Stock Market Synchronicity
Since 2017, crypto bull/bear cycles have often mirrored the S&P 500. The current crypto bull run began just a month after the S&P 500’s 2022 trough.
👉 Explore crypto market trends
Projecting the Current Bull Run
At 21 months in, with an average duration of 61 months, this run could extend until late 2027.
Source: Trading View
While many anticipate a 2025 finale based on 4-year cycles, what if history diverges? Could this crypto rally match the endurance of past stock market surges?
FAQ: Bull Run Predictions
Q1: How long do bull markets typically last?
A: Historically, ~5 years (61 months), though extremes range from 21 months to 131 months.
Q2: Are crypto bull runs linked to traditional markets?
A: Since 2017, crypto and S&P 500 trends often align in timing and direction.
Q3: When might the current bull run end?
A: If it follows the average, late 2027—but cyclical patterns suggest 2025 is plausible.
Q4: What factors could prolong this bull market?
A: Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, or macroeconomic stability may extend the rally.
👉 Dive deeper into crypto strategies
Your Turn: Vote for the Bull’s End
When do you predict this bull run will peak?
- A. 2024
- B. 2025
- C. 2026
- D. 2027 and beyond
Reply with your perspective!
Disclaimer: This content is educational only—not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries risks; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Consult a financial advisor before making decisions.