Stellar (XLM) is showing renewed momentum, with a 10% gain in the last 24 hours and over 25% in the past 30 days. Despite the rally, XLM has struggled to reclaim the key psychological level of $0.30 since March 2, facing strong resistance at the $0.279 mark.
Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), and a potential golden cross suggest growing bullish momentum. However, challenges remain, including supply concentration concerns and cautious buying pressure.
Key Technical Indicators for Stellar (XLM)
1. RSI Signals Bullish Momentum
Stellar’s RSI has surged to 62.21, up from 31.47 just two days ago, indicating strong buying interest.
- RSI values below 30: Oversold (potential rebound).
- RSI values above 70: Overbought (risk of pullback).
- Current RSI (62.21) suggests room for further upside before overbought conditions.
👉 Track live Stellar price movements
2. CMF Rebounds but Lacks Strong Conviction
The CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) has risen to 0.04 from -0.32, signaling short-term buying pressure.
- CMF above 0.10: Strong accumulation.
- CMF near 0: Neutral/weak momentum.
- Current CMF (0.04) hints at cautious optimism.
3. Golden Cross Formation Nears
A potential golden cross (short-term EMA crossing above long-term EMA) could signal a bullish breakout.
- Resistance: $0.279 (breakout target).
- Support: $0.267 (critical level to hold).
Price Targets and Risks
Bullish Scenario
- Break above $0.279** → Rally toward **$0.30.
- Next targets: $0.349**, **$0.375, and $0.443.
Bearish Scenario
- Failure to hold $0.267** → Drop to **$0.25.
- Further downside: $0.239**, **$0.230.
Market Concerns
- Supply Concentration: Top 10 wallets hold 80% of XLM.
- Exchange Risks: Binance’s XLM balance grew from 180M to 1B since late 2023.
👉 Explore Stellar’s RWA growth
Adoption Growth: Tokenized RWAs
Stellar’s real-world asset (RWA) market has surged 84% in 2025, with over $500M in on-chain value driven by institutions like Franklin Templeton and Circle.
FAQs
Q: Is Stellar (XLM) a good investment now?
A: While technicals show bullish momentum, risks like supply concentration and exchange liquidity fluctuations require caution.
Q: What’s the next key resistance for XLM?
A: The $0.279 level is critical; a breakout could push XLM toward $0.30.
Q: How does Stellar’s RWA market impact XLM?
A: Growing institutional adoption (e.g., Franklin Templeton) supports long-term demand for XLM.
Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Conduct your own research before investing.